Well, I came across some interesting data from Portland Or. that would appear to contradict this. Portland has seen massive increases in cycling in the city thanks to a concerted investment in cycle infrastructure, as can be seen from this graph extracted from the Portland Bicycle Count Report 2009.
When compared to this graph below it tells an interesting story. The increase in cycling coincided with an increase in helmet use. This would appear to contradict the assertion that more people would ride if they didn't have to wear helmets. For the fashionistas who say that women don't cycle because they don't like wearing an ugly helmet it is interesting to note that 82% of female cyclists wore a helmet compared to only 77% of male cyclists.
I still maintain however that compulsory helmet use is the Achilles heal of bikeshare schemes in Australia. It is one thing to wear a helmet when making a planned cycling trip from home. It is completely another for unplanned cycle trips - which bike share will need to capture. Portland is investigating bike share. If they put a scheme in place it would be interesting to see what impact it would have on helmet use. I predict it would result in a downward trend - but I wait to see.
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